Bigoted Patients and the Obligation to Serve

A counterpoint to this article: while i have no doubt whatsoever that some fraction of patients are racist, and that this is of course bad and a trial for clinicians, to what degree is Chen’s blog post special pleading on behalf of a very, very high-social-status service occupation? In other words, it’s funny how nobody ever writes a piece called “When The Diner on Whose Table I Have to Wait is Racist” or “When The Guy Who Calls into My Call Center is Racist” or “When The Person Renewing His Driver’s License at my DMV Office is Racist.” Anyone who has ever worked in any service job that deals with the general public knows that you are occasionally going to have to suck it up and serve some flagrantly racist asshat who goes out of his way to abuse a minority employee. Except that 1) those businesses usually have much less of an ability to fight back than a doctor does – or at least choose not to, because this is America, after all, where the customer’s dollar is the most important thing of all; 2) the amount of contact those businesses have with the racist person is arguably more limited than some doctors have; 3) if the guy at the DMV loses his composure, the worst thing that happens is that some racist doesn’t walk out with a driver’s license, whereas if a doctor loses his composure, the patient could wind up dead.

Ultimately it seems to me that it’s going to be easier to thoroughly train doctors how to best handle these incidents than it is for the medical profession to try to coerce difficult, disturbed, and even racist patients to behave differently.

Entrepreneurship and its Discontents

MBA student C.Z. Nnaemeka writes a brilliant evisceration of the American entrepreneurial mindset that also gets the solution very, very wrong (HT: Cindy).

At bottom, Nnaemeka’s diagnosis is based on some shaky underpinnings. Her dim view of government will probably go over very well with her peers at Sloan, but is both subtly and egregiously unfounded. Egregiously because she seems to take the common view that American politicians are universally corrupt and uninterested in solving the problems of the underclass, when what really ails our politics is that one party – I’ll leave it to the reader to guess which – has managed to game our political institutions to thwart some mostly reasonable attempts to solve real social problems.

Subtly,  because she falls into the corporate triumphalism that underlies all business schools. Government at all levels in the US is slow and lumbering for a whole host of reasons (inability to pay employees salaries comparable to what they’d make in the private sector chiefly among them) but one overlooked reason is that the government as an institution is old.  This is not a problem inherent to government; rare is the corporation that’s been around several decades that isn’t running on horribly outdated processes with ossified management. (Any freshly minted Sloan MBAs jumping at the chance to work in the sexy mining, rail freight, or steel industries lately? I didn’t think so.)

But the real problem with Nnaemeka’s essay is that it misses the obvious solution for the sake of managerial grandstanding –  again, a not uncommon pathology of modern managers. Poor white people don’t have enough money to pull themselves out of poverty? Rather than first brainstorm how to use technology to make their daily lives more efficient or marginally help them deal with their kids’ food allergies or whatever, you could, you know, give them more money. Fundamentally this kind of large-scale tide-rising is why we have governments to make economic policy, even if the political system is currently broken. It would be nice to see a manager acknowledge that once in a while.

A little spring hackery

I’m going to descend into a little hackery and admit that I think this isn’t really 100% wrong:

Organizations were singled out because they included the words “tea party” or “patriot” in their applications for tax-exempt status, said Lois Lerner, who heads the IRS division that oversees tax-exempt groups…”That was wrong. That was absolutely incorrect, it was insensitive and it was inappropriate. That’s not how we go about selecting cases for further review,” Lerner said at a conference sponsored by the American Bar Association.

“The IRS would like to apologize for that,” she added.

So these organizations wanted tax-exempt status, and (some people down the totem pole at) the IRS flagged their applications because of the organizations’ specific political beliefs. That’s indeed improper. Political advocacy organizations get tax-exempt status under the law, and the organization’s specific ideology should stay out of the conversation of whether an organization deserves that status.

But here’s the thing. A lot of people are conflating reviewing an application for tax-exempt status with “getting audited.” And contra everyone who’s commented on this, I actually think it would be much less of a big deal if these organizations were subjected to disciminatory audits, and maybe even commendable. Think about it. The IRS’s job is to collect taxes. The point of audits is to check up on the people who are most likely to be evading the tax laws. Why would it be improper to think that an organization named after the motto “Taxed Enough Already” might be more likely than average to engage in tax shenanigans?

EDIT: pwned by tbogg.

 

Today in Embarassing Sports Journalism

Jeremy Schaap at ESPN comes out with a piece of factually wrong Spurs homerism that not even Skip Bayless could top. 

I like the Spurs, but this is bad even by sportswriting standards. LeBron James did not bolt “at the first chance to play in a major market”; he intentionally passed up such a chance when he signed a contract extension with Cleveland in 2006. And that aside, it’s far from clear whether market size was even a major consideration in James’s infamous decision to play in Miami; the biggest factor seems to have been James’s desire to play on the same team with two friends.

The other really bad part of the segment is all the nonsense about the public’s view of the “proper” way to build a team, which for Schaap appears to mean only via drafting young players and developing them. First of all, the premise is ridiculous. It implies that the public’s view is basically economically reactionary, punishing players who try and extract their actual value from ownership. That may well be mostly true – but if Schaap were doing his job, he’d at least be questioning it rather than weaving it into his adoring narrative. And I’m pretty sure the public doesn’t care all that much about teams assembled in free agency and the trade deadline – their concern is far and away with big stars jumping teams. 

But apart from these concerns of premise, the piece is just factually wrong. Virtually the entire Spurs bench, plus Danny Green, was obtained in free agency or via trades. Tim Duncan is about the only player the Spurs picked in the draft out of college. Kawhi Leonard was picked by the Pacers and immediately traded to the Spurs. Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili played pro ball in Europe before signing with San Antonio (albeit through the draft) – is the idea here that there’s some exception for signing players who are invisible to Americans? After watching this stuff, I suddenly understand why Schaap’s allegedly hardball Manti Te’o interview was such a flop.

Grifters Gonna Grift: Oakland’s American Indian Public Charter Schools

Last week, the Oakland school district revoked the charter of the company running its best-performing middle and high schools, American Indian. Ben Chavis, the company’s founder, had been self-dealing to the tune of a few million dollars. Some background on the schools are here and here and here and here.

I don’t have much in the way of facts to add except that this story is illustrative of how even the most clearly misbehaving education “reformers” can pull the wool over the eyes of many well-meaning people in the field. A family member who trains local teachers brought the story to my attention, framing it as “it’s a shame Ben Chavis did some crooked things because his schools had great performance”….when even the slightest bit of research would have probably changed his point of view to “Ben Chavis was a con artist who added little actual educational value but was an expert at gaming the system. He cherry-picked a bunch of motivated and already-high-performing Chinese-American kids and then claimed their subsequent success as his own and as victories for a crackpot disciplinarian philosophy.”

Nobody Knows Anything About Ideologies, Part CLXII

I want to offer a mild corrective to Jamelle Bouie’s post here, specifically the first point:

1) The large plurality of Asian Americans are liberal or moderate, with similar proportions among the six major groups polled by Pew. Filipinos stand as an exception—Most are moderate, but there are more conservatives than liberals.

Presumably, the Pew data that Bouie is drawing from is from simple self-identification. Pew didn’t take a whole 100-question survey on what people thought about 15 different issues and then score it on a liberal-conservative axis. They just said: “Liberal, moderate, or conservative: which one are you?” One reason I suspect this is the case is that if you look at the supporting data below it, the liberal/conservative chart here that proclaims that Filipinos are the only conservative Asian-Americans makes no sense: Filipinos are more liberal than not just the general public, but the average Asian-American both on measures of their support for larger government and their tolerance of gay Americans. Though admittedly they are typically more in favor of abortion restrictions than the average voter.

What’s going on here? One might reconcile Pew’s conflicting data just by figuring that the abortion issue is disproportionately important to Filipinos in how they form their ideological self-conception, but I’m betting the real cause is much hazier. I think the best explanation is that everyone defines “liberal” and “conservative” differently, that these varying definitions may be strongly culturally mediated, and that Pew isn’t taking that into account when throwing simplistic survey answers into a chart. For an example, I’m reminded of former president Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, speaking in a very specific Filipino context of asking men to please not try to kiss her at her campaign events:

“First, show some respect,” she told a town hall meeting in Laguna province, south of Manila.

“Secondly, I am conservative. I do not want to be kissed by any man but my husband.”

In context, it’s very clear to me that although she’s nominally part of the Filipino center-right, Arroyo’s use of the word “conservative” has nothing whatsoever to do with her political positions. Rather, she’s appealing to an idea of conservatism that is somewhat specifically Filipino and Catholic, and specifically not mapped at all to an American idea of conservatism. It places the word “conservative” on a distinctly moral, not political, continuum: there are the upstanding women who are conservative and modest, and then on the other side there are the sluts – er, the wacky libertines for whom anything goes.

So if Filipino-Americans largely share Arroyo’s concept of what it means to be conservative, it’s unsurprising that you’re going to see some weird results in Pew’s self-identification data. Pew’s asking whether people have a package of beliefs that are pro-gun, anti-tax, anti-abortion, anti-egalitarian, and anti-science, and it’s quite possible that they’re getting back an answer that means that the person thinks of himself as a God-fearing, behaving Catholic.

Why you should vote No on Proposition 37: The Scientific Case

(This is the second of two posts on why Proposition 37 is a bad idea, focusing on the science of GMOs. For the more “political” arguments against this measure, check out the first post in this series.)

In my earlier post on Prop. 37 I started to get into the non-technical reasons why I think Prop. 37 is a poor idea: among other things, the initiative process is a bad way procedurally to make law, especially in complicated matters like biotechnology, and it doesn’t even really fully protect consumers from purported harm from GMOs. But I left off without getting into the main case against separate labeling, namely: there is virtually no evidence showing that GMOs are harmful to human health.

I want to pause for a minute for some historical context. As Chris Mooney amply demonstrated in The Republican War on Science, American liberals have mostly fully embraced using real science to inform public policy, disdaining the movement conservative war on empiricism. This is of course a good thing. However, there’s only one  major exception to this general trend, and that’s GMOs. There’s a segment of left-ish thought that has fully bought the woo line on GMOs, and on this charge of moonbattery I’m afraid some liberals (especially in the Bay Area where I live) are indeed guilty.

The reason I’m bringing this up is not really to argue ad hominem (“you shouldn’t believe these people because they’re liberals of the nutso variety”) but to give some history that’s necessary to fully understand how we got to where we are today. The main Yes on 37 proponents – California Right to Know – have actually retreated from saying in public the crazy stuff they’ve long believed about GMOs without reason, and thanks to some slicker marketing have held fast this cycle to the line that you simply have the right to know what’s in your food. In other words, they don’t really make any factual argument in public about the empirical case against GMOs, preferring to instead let others do that by word of mouth after they’ve planted the seeds with subtle nods here and there to “foreign genes” and a healthy amount of guilt-by-association with Monsanto’s spending on this measure. So there’s not a whole lot on their website that can be debated with. So I’m going to go beyond the current, mostly argument-free current website of Yes on 37 and also look at some of the rawer stuff these same folks were saying 10 years ago, on their former website.

OK, enough of that. So what do the people making the loudest case for Yes on 37 believe?

FACT: Genetic engineering (GE) and conventional breeding are worlds apart. Breeding does not manipulate genes; it involves crossing of selected parents of the same or closely related species.

Oy. This is just embarrassing to anyone who’s studied plant biology for even a minute. Breeding absolutely manipulates genes. When farmers began breeding wild mustard until they consistently got it to produce swollen stems (kohlrabi), big leafy heads (cabbage), florets (cauliflower), and little heads on a big stem (brussels sprouts), how did all these varieties acquire and keep their desired traits? It wasn’t magic! Agriculture has for thousands of years been wreaking massive genetic changes in crops. These changes have been far, far more radical than what most modern genome tweaking does. Yeah. More radical. The stuff we are doing in the lab to plant genomes is very subtle and targeted compared to what selective breeding does to them.

Now, it’s true that genetic engineering has allowed us some shortcuts in how we go about this, bringing in genes from distantly related species to express more traits that are useful to human beings. But that’s a far cry from saying such shortcuts must be harmful. The anti-GMO crowd has never conclusively demonstrated such a thing; instead they’ve simply resorted to luddism and arguments about “playing God” with food as substitutes for hard facts.

“GE usually employs virus genes to smuggle in and promote the inserted genes.”

Scare tactics. If I said that GE used microscalpels made out of steel to move in the genes, would you be equally terrified? Viruses and bacteria are useful tools to the biotechnologist, just like microscopes and autoclaves. If you want to get genes out of one cell and into another, using a virus is a very handy way to do it, as that’s what they’ve naturally evolved to do. (Also, generally, there aren’t virus genes per se used in the process, but whole viruses. ) The new DNA doesn’t just get there via a miracle. You have to snap it into the new organism’s genome, and lab-manipulated viruses are excellent vectors for accomplishing this, putting the new pieces of DNA where you want them to go. Implying that you might be harmed by a virus from coming into contact with the progeny of GM organisms is lunacy, akin to saying you’re going to get a viral disease because your long-deceased great-great-great-great-great grandfather contracted it two hundred years ago.

 The function of only a small proportion of the DNA in an organism is known…[genetic engineering] may result in random and unexpected changes in the functioning of the cells.

I’m actually sympathetic to this line of thinking – or rather, would be, if it had ever been demonstrated in any organism that these unexpected changes are bad. Unfortunately for anti-GMO folks, it hasn’t. While we don’t fully know everything about corn’s genome (or our own, for that matter), we do know quite a lot about toxins, mutagens, and allergens. If GMOs produced these at levels detrimental to human health, we’d find out pretty quickly. Furthermore, it’s not like extant human foods don’t produce toxins, mutagens, or allergens; stone fruit contain traces of amygdalin (readily converted by your body into hydrogen cyanide), citrus has formaldehyde, and if you really want a good time, try reading about Jamaican vomiting sickness and ackee. The anti-GMOs are appealing to a notion of a sort of primordial wisdom: if people ate it since time immemorial, the reasoning goes, it must be safe. But reality is more complicated.

Worried about toxins, mutagens, and allergens in your food? Good! By all means let’s test food for them. But don’t hold GMOs to a double standard here. If our best tests can’t find these things in GM crops, which are tested much more rigorously, then it’s fair to presume as a starting point that they’re just as safe as regular crops. If we discover that they produce heretofore-unknown, harmful molecules, I’ll be the first to call for restricting such varieties as food. But there’s no real reason to think that such a thing is likely.

Existing molecules may be manufactured in incorrect quantities, at the wrong times, or new molecules may be produced.

There’s a sort of food OCD at work here in much of the animating beliefs of the anti-GMO movement: the idea that there is some fixed, “correct” amount of nutrients and other substances in existing foods is needless to say, not supported by the evidence. On the contrary, there’s reason to  believe that fruits and vegetables, conventional and otherwise, are getting less nutritious per weight of the food – probably because our relentless breeding for size has added lots of water to them and thus reduced the concentration of everything else in them. Food changes. That the anti-GMO crowd has never been able to specifically identify a provably undesirable compound or unhealthy concentration of a compound in GMO plants, only speculated that such things might be there, cuts through a lot of the absurdity embedded in this idea.

 No independent, long-term testing of the safety of GE foods has been conducted in the U.S.

Again, a misleading double standard. I’m pretty sure that virtually no long-term testing of the safety of non-GM foods has been done either – it’s just assumed that since we’ve eaten them for hundreds of years with no obvious ill effects, they must be fine to eat. (Let’s not pay too close attention to the recent studies linking traditional Southern Chinese high-pickled-vegetable diets to stomach cancer…) In the absence of information suggesting short-term ill effects and no suspicious molecules identified, it’s reasonable to conclude for now that there’s not special cause to worry about GMOs.

Virtually no GE food marketed to date has been shown to be more nutritious than non-GE food.

Not true – or, to be fair, falsified by events after this was published. Golden rice most certainly does contain lots more Vitamin A than conventional rice, and although it’s true that it has not been “marketed” just yet, it likely will be within the next three years. Two other additional points: first, GM food hasn’t been shown to be less  nutritious than non-GM food, either, so this claim is just misleading. And the golden rice case highlights the absurdity of making wildly uninformed claims about technology – just because a technology hasn’t exhausted all its touted possibilities yet doesn’t mean that achieving those possibilities is, in fact, impossible.

 The money for scientific research on GE here and overseas comes from either the biotechnology companies or the government. Both are committed to the promises of biotechnology. This means that even when scientists have concerns about the safety or commercial application of the technology, it is often hard for them to risk their careers by being openly critical.

Oh, Lord. This is the worst kind of conspiracy theorizing, on the level of saying that climate scientists are all making up data showing warming trends because their careers will be jeopardized if they blow the whistle. We liberals are supposed to be better than this. There’s plenty of non-corporate research being done on these foods.

Walmart is now selling Monsanto’s sweet corn that has been genetically engineered to contain an insecticide, but consumers don’t know because it’s not labeled.

One hallmark of the anti-GMO lexicon is to throw around words like “pesticide” and “insecticide” in an attempt to frighten people who’ve never studied biochemistry. So let’s talk about Bt corn. The Bt toxin is a protein molecule that’s very effective at killing some (not all) types of bugs. It’s made naturally by some varieties of the bacteriaBacillus Thuringiensis, which live in soil. This protein has been pretty carefully studied and tested over about a hundred years, and from what we can tell so far, it has no effect at all on vertebrates. A nasty hydrocarbon-based pesticide this is not. You’d be hard-pressed to find a bug-killing molecule that’s more targeted to affect only insect physiology. In fact, as Eric Sawyer notes here, even certified organic farms (the main beneficiaries and exempted parties under Prop. 37) are permitted to use Bt on their crops under the terms of their certification! So there’s no real reason to think that corn that’s engineered to produce its own Bt is going to be in any way bad for you.

While it’s prudent for the FDA to monitor Bt usage to err on the side of caution, there’s not really a good reason to single out Bt corn for a label that says “THIS CORN PRODUCES INSECTICIDES” considering that a) the insecticide appears quite safe for human health and is not especially different from other insect-killing molecules produced by food crops without human intervention, b) other uses of harsher insecticides (like spraying) don’t have mandated labeling either. Come to think of it, if you really want to people to know what’s in their food, why haven’t we started with requiring sprayed crops to display lists of the sprays used? To me, that seems much more informative than simply telling the consumer that the organism is GM.

Crops engineered to contain their own pesticides will produce increased resistance in the targeted species…Crops engineered to be resistant to specific herbicides may encourage more liberal use of those herbicides…There is evidence that crops engineered to produce their own insecticide can kill beneficial insects….[paraphrasing] Monsanto controls the GM industry and they are bad even if the technology can do good things.

These are reasonable concerns. But labeling foods a la Prop. 37 is a nonsensical solution to these problems. If herbicide use is shown to be hazardous to consumers (not the case for Roundup, as yet) then you need to regulate the damn herbicides, not pass food labels. And the same is true of tackling the problem of pesticide resistance and its related environmental issues – food labeling is at best a very clumsy, indirect way to address these things, especially because they aren’t exclusive problems to GMO crops. The pro-37 people seem to think that agribusiness is so powerful, and the FDA so corrupt, that herbicides will never be effectively regulated, so the best strategy is to make an end run around them by whipping consumers into an anti-GM hysteria. This is likely to lead to bad, bad agricultural policy.

And of course, arguing against Monsanto’s particular uses of genetic engineering shouldn’t extend to all such possible uses of these valuable techniques – but that’s what will be stigmatized if the public turns decisively against the whole idea of GMOs.

I want to reiterate that I feel completely icky agreeing with agribusiness on this ballot proposition. But food policy needs to be based on the facts, not anti-scientific hysteria. Planting the idea in voters’ heads that GM techniques are by their very nature suspect and dangerous doesn’t give them a factual understanding of the issues in play, and is likely to lead to an undue curbing of the uses of these techniques. If you care about using the ever-expanding realms of what we know about plant genetics to do real good in the world, that’s a serious setback. It’s pretty striking to see technologically-minded people who think self-driving cars and robot butlers are just dandy freak out at the idea that our understanding of the life sciences could cause similar leaps in food, too. Food is just different to a lot of people, and I get that. But if you really consider yourself someone who thinks public policy should be made based on a rational understanding of the world, you should vote No on Proposition 37 on Tuesday.

Debbie Bacigalupi: from Corporate Event Planner to Fourth-rate Liar

I had an interesting conversation today with Debbie Bacigalupi, a former corporate event planner who is running for Congress as a Republican in California’s 14th district. Bacigalupi more or less met my expectations of a not-particularly-sharp electoral punching bag whose political education thus far has consisted of years of listening to conservative talk radio plus maybe a week of whatever GOP media summer camp teaches candidates how to repeat the same talking points over and over. The conversation centered on reproductive rights; while dodging virtually every question on how she would actually vote on bills concerning abortion, Bacigalupi did essentially admit that she did not have the slightest clue that birth control is often prescribed in cases having nothing to do with sexual activity. (In case it wasn’t obvious, she’d vote to ban Medicaid from funding birth control.)

But enough about that. I also picked up her campaign brochure targeted to “college age voters”, which she and her companion were doling out at my local college campus. Now, I’m not under the illusion that the brochure contains an above average number of lies per square inch compared to other GOP candidates. These are Republicans we’re talking about here. But it contains a lot of them.

A bit of throat-clearing is necessary here. Why am I bothering with a detailed takedown of a fourth-rate tea party hack? Bacigalupi isn’t going to beat Jackie Speier in CA-14. It’ll be remarkable if she only loses by forty percentage points. And as I’ve admitted, there’s nothing particularly remarkable about this candidate’s claims relative to others in her party, so singling her out is a bit odd. Moreover, in most of the Bay Area, Republicans are still as radioactive as ever and that shows no sign of changing. So there’s a bit of a tilting-at-windmills quality to this.

That said, I think it’s an important project for one reason: the modern conservative movement is toxic to the body politic, and only when the Republican Party has finally purged itself of these dishonest lunatics will we be able to have anything resembling a normal politics again in America. And one piece of that project is making sure that people who say this stuff are thoroughly humiliated by public reputations as backward liars, and embarrassed that they ever ran for office in the first place. So in short, in a race where the press doesn’t care about writing anything after the primary because the result was never in question, this kind of thing will serve as lasting documentation where there otherwise might be none. Plus…it has the additional virtue of being true!

So let’s get on with it and look at what’s in Debbie Bacigalupi’s brochure. My method here excludes from consideration the following: statements of subjective opinion or subjective issue-framing, even laughably stupid ones (“the govt. has NO money, except what it takes from tax paying citizens”, “Imagine charging 40 cents of every dollar you spend to your credit card!” – the framing here being the braindead trope equating the US Treasury to a household); statements that, however tendentious or vague, are at most only indirectly related to federal government policy (“Since 2008, tuition costs have increased at Public universities by over 21%”, “gasoline prices have increased 100% since 2009”); and statements so incoherent I have no idea what they even mean (“the tax payers pay for the food stamps, welfare, Medicaid, loan defaults, [blah blah]…of non-tax paying citizens” – my brain hurts just trying to understand how the American taxpayer has paid for private loan defaults in the absence even of cramdown legislation, unless the idea is that the financial crisis requiring the bailout of the financial system is entirely the fault of distressed homeowners). Also ignored are painful errors in grammar, of which there are several (President Obama’s “job’s council”). However, statements of fact that are obviously intended to mislead anyone with average common sense will be called what they are: lies. I also reserve the right to call particularly egregious cases of cherry-picking lies; picking 2009 as a baseline year in making claims about gas prices is clearly preying on reader ignorance that 2009 was an especially cheap year for gas relative to 2005-2008.

“Consumer prices have increased 9.5% since 2009.”

Verdict: EGREGIOUS CHERRY-PICKING

The language here is vague; if “since 2009” means since the very end of 2009, it’s almost certainly false. Total CPI change over this period was somewhere around 7-8%. So instead I’m going to assume that the brochure means since the beginning of 2009, when President Obama took office. Ignoring the implicit and wrong value judgment here that price increases are in and of themselves horrible, this stat essentially says “President Obama came in and rescued the economy from epic disaster – and that’s a bad thing.” The CPI was a whopping negative 3.2% in November/December 2008, thanks to the economy plunging into a deflationary spiral. The economy bounced back in early 2009, causing a jump in inflation that offset this deflation. That’s where a good chunk of the inflation of the last few years came from (and even if it weren’t, 9.5% inflation over four years is hardly unprecedented or dangerous – it’s just a shade over the 8% target set by the Fed as part of its dual mandate).

Things get more obvious than this, trust me.

“3 million fewer Americans will gain health insurance as part of the health-care overhaul (Obamacare).”

Verdict: LIE

The source here is given as the unhelpful “WSJ”. In any case, this is such an obvious attempt to mislead that it deserves to be called a lie. The language here is directly copied-and-pasted in a bunch of sources on the Web; probably the ultimate source is Louise Radnofsky’s story in the WSJ from this summer on…you guessed it, the striking down of the Medicaid expansion provisions in the PPACA by the Supreme Court. In other words, the PPACA as passed had 17 million more Americans getting health insurance than before and now, thanks to the Court preventing the federal government from laying the hammer on states that resist Medicaid expansion, only about 14 million more will. Saying that 17-3 = 0-3 and implying that a Court modification is the same as the law itself:  lies.

“With the new healthcare law you are required to buy insurance or pay a fine!” 

Verdict: LIE

False under normal readings of the word “buy”. You aren’t required to buy insurance under the PPACA unless you aren’t already covered. Lots of people in group plans don’t “buy” insurance per se; they’re given it as a benefit from their employers, or it’s directly paid for by taxpayers (Medicare). It would have been easy enough to convey much the same message while not lying, but that’s not my problem.

“New regulations already require certain types of light bulbs, toilets, and showers.”

Verdict: HILARIOUS

No real reason for including this statement other than that it’s a funny-ass window into the GOP as the party of Get Off My Lawn, pandering to the voters who think mandatory seat belts in cars and CFLs are signs of the Apocalypse. The horror, the horror of the nanny-state telling us we can’t build earthquake-unsafe structures if we damn well please!

“Nearly half of all Americans pay no federal taxes.”

Verdict: LIE

The conflation of all federal taxes (payroll taxes, etc.) with the federal income tax is particularly frowned upon at this blog. F-minus-minus.

“Meanwhile the top 10% of wage earners pay over 70% of all the taxes for the Nation.”

Verdict: ALL THE ALCOHOL ON EARTH WILL NOT GET ME THROUGH THIS WHOLE POST

Probably the same conflation as above is animating this nonsense. A cursory look at some data from a right-leaning think tank suggests that the actual tax share paid by the top decile is probably not more than 45%.

Update: Yep, I was right . There may also be some chicanery here in focusing on “wage income” to distort the effects of the capital gains tax on the stats – that is, you can only get to 45% if you conflate “federal taxes” with “federal income taxes”, and you can only go from 45 to 70% by slicing all the rich investors whose income is primarily capital gains out of your data. Note also that economics21, who supplied the chart in my link above, is also guilty of the same lie (see the chart).

“Who has decided to enforce only the nation’s laws he agrees with?”

“Who has allowed voter intimidation at the polls?”

“Who is hiring 16,000 IRS agents to enforce Obamacare on Americans?”

Verdict: THIS IS JUST LIKE WHAT HAPPENED AT THE END OF FLOWERS FOR ALGERNON, EXCEPT I DIDN’T GET ANY SMARTER FIRST

Needless to say, Newt Gingrich’s garbage claim about 16,000 IRS agents has been thoroughly dealt with before, though this zombie lie will likely be with us long into the PPACA era.

That’s it till 2014, folks! Join us then when the next lying GOP doormat runs in CA-14 when I’m sure the Party of Lincoln will have reformed itself into a responsible center-right opposition that wants nothing to do with the wingnut fever swamp, making my job much more boring!

Update: A closer inspection of the brochure suggests it was not put out directly by the Bacigalupi congressional campaign, but by the San Mateo Tea Party group mylibertysanmateo.com, led by Carol Negro. That said, I do not think it’s unfair to term it “Bacigalupi’s brochure” as I have here.  The tea party guy who handed it to me and asked me if I would like to meet a candidate for Congress was clearly involved with assisting Bacigalupi on campus, and gave the impression that he worked or volunteered for her campaign. The brochure appeared to be given out as official campaign literature. Additionally, Bacigalupi and Negro are likely to be closely connected through the tea party organization (see this video of them both speaking at a local development meeting), and Bacigalupi’s actions today gave every indication that she fully endorses the statements in the brochure. If I see reasonable evidence that none of these things are true, I’ll correct the post accordingly.

Please think twice before voting for Proposition 37

(This is the first of at least two posts on this topic. Warning, divergence from liberal orthodoxy follows!)

This cycle, California voters are deciding on Proposition 37, which would require labeling for GMO foods as is done in many other countries in the developed world. While I am loath to throw in my lot with agribusiness in general and Monsanto especially, the arguments for Prop. 37 just do not stand up to scrutiny, and the major organization backing the proposition is advancing arguments that have laughable claims to scientific rigor.

Here in brief are some of the non-science reasons I think Prop. 37 is a bad idea:

  • It isn’t crafted specifically to protect consumers from ostensible harm from GMO foods. The exemptions in Prop. 37 – primarily for organic farmers – suggest that the ballot language was crafted primarily to benefit the organic farming industry, not consumers. If protecting Californians were really the paramount goal, the authors would have placed the responsibility on organic farmers, just like non-organic farmers, to test their crops for infiltration of transgenically-derived genes (a concern many organic farmers share) and label them accordingly. Instead they specifically exempted them from any such requirement. While I would rather see an organic farmer benefit than Big Ag, this is a bad way to do it if you really think GMOs are a legitimate public interest concern. What of the small, non-organic farmer who nonetheless doesn’t intentionally plant GM seeds? The text of the law would seem to hold him legally responsible for testing and appropriately labeling his crop, but not the organic farmer next door – a bizarre situation if what you’re really attempting to do is allow consumers to keep GM foods out of their diet.
  • We need to end our addiction to legislating via ballot proposition. This is the Assembly’s job and if this is a public interest concern, we need to hold the Assembly accountable for passing a law. Not enshrine it into something much harder to modify or repeal should there be unintended and undesirable consequences. We’re turning state governance into an ad hoc crazy-quilt joke. California just has to stop doing this. Period.
  • It’s a piss-poor substitute for real, comprehensive food policy. If I wanted to improve Californians’ health through food, even if I thought GMOs were potentially dangerous (which I don’t), this would be probably tenth or eleventh down my food safety priority list. Accepting the general position that consumers have a right to know what they’re eating, GMO labeling would barely scratch the surface of giving them that information. How about assays of known toxins and allergens? Why can’t we know exactly where and how our food was grown, stored, transported, stored again, and packed for sale? Most Americans don’t even know that the onions and apples they eat often sit in silage for many months before consumption.  And more money could be spent on advocacy and research for nutrition, health effects of fresh and processed foods, etc., etc. Slapping labels on food without actual research behind doing so is making policy in the dark.

In my next post on this, I’ll tackle some of the myths that Prop. 37’s main opponents are promulgating about genetic modification and other biotech techniques.

The Evolution Fight as Social Project

I both agree and disagree with Kevin Drum’s take on evolution: Kevin’s clearly right that if the conservative position on evolution were really about evolution, it wouldn’t be a big deal. The vast majority of people can get by just fine without any understanding of the topic (even with stuff like public health issues around antibiotic resistance, telling someone “just don’t be stupid and abuse antibiotics” is probably about as effective as going into the details of the evolution of resistant bacteria).

But the conservative position on evolution isn’t really about evolution at all.

It’s about politics, specifically a long-term political project to muddy the waters with voters who would ordinarily be least likely to vote for conservatives, low-income people with a high school education or less. That’s one reason the fight has never really extended to expunging evolution from college biology departments – college grads aren’t really the target audience here. The real goal isn’t to attack evolution, but to socially wall off these voters as much as possible from  voices and authority figures that could conceivably compete with those useful to conservatives – pastors, the military, conservative media, etc. Making the low-information voter forever distrustful of expertise is a dangerous project, and one that liberal strategists ignore at their peril.